Both teams to score
Yes51%
ours 1.96
No49%
ours 2.04
All matches
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Eibar — Mallorca, Segunda División
Spain, Segunda División
Eibar
2.4WWWWW
Mallorca
1.7DLWWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
48%26%26%
Eibar48%Draw26%Mallorca26%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Eibar2.10—
XDraw3.84—
2Mallorca3.81—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricEibarMallorcaCombined
Goals scored2.500.503.00
Conceded0.670.170.84
Corners7.210.28.7
Cards2.43.66.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
EibarMallorca
SD Eibar 48%, Real Club Deportivo Mallorca 26%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
SD Eibar 48%Draw 26%Real Club Deportivo Mallorca 26%
1st half
35 · 41 · 24
2nd half
25 · 43 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Over 3.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Eibar
- awayAlbacete3:1
- homeLas Palmas3:2
- awayEldense2:1
- awayCelta Vigo II4:0
- homeGranada3:0
Mallorca
- awayGirona0:0
- homeAlmeria0:1
- awayReal Sociedad II1:0
- homeSabadell2:0
- awayEldense0:0
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Eibar870118:721
Eibar870118:7212
Castellon862015:320
Castellon862015:3203
Almeria860213:518
Almeria860213:5184
Girona842214:814
Girona842214:8145Mallorca84228:314
Mallorca84228:3146
Burgos842212:914
Burgos842212:9147
Sabadell83418:613
Sabadell83418:613Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.