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Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz — Rapid Wien II, 2. Liga: match prediction and stats

Match prediction and stats

Austria, 2. Liga

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
58%20%22%
Schwarz-Weiss BregenzPrice 1.6258%DrawPrice 4.3020%Rapid Wien IIPrice 4.1322%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz58%59%1.721.62-0.7
XDraw20%20%4.904.30+0.3
2Rapid Wien II22%21%4.654.13+0.5

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes64%

ours 1.55price 1.47

No36%

ours 2.81price 2.53

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

Combos — with Premium

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3839 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3828 matches

Cards prediction

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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3818 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Schwarz-Weiss BregenzRapid Wien II

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 58%, SK Rapid Wien II 22%. The safest is “No draw” at 80%.

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 58%Draw 20%SK Rapid Wien II 22%
1st half
35 · 38 · 28
2nd half
50 · 30 · 21

Prices: 1.62 · 4.30 · 4.13

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Over 2.5

67%1.42
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricSchwarz-Weiss BregenzRapid Wien IICombined
Goals scored0.801.001.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz
  • Unbeaten at home in 6 matches1:0, 0:0, 4:0, 3:1, 3:2
  • Fewest corners in the league in their matches — 8.4 per match16 teams in the league
  • One win in the last 5 matches1:0, 2:2, 0:0, 0:1, 1:2
Rapid Wien II
  • Winless in 8 matches1:2, 2:3, 0:0, 1:2, 1:4
  • Winless away in 4 matches2:3, 0:0, 1:4, 2:5, 2:1
  • Relegation zone: 16th of 16

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz

  • homeAdmira Wacker1:0
  • awayLiefering2:2
  • homeAmstetten0:0
  • awayWels0:1
  • awaySt. Polten1:2

Rapid Wien II

  • homeLiefering1:2
  • awayAmstetten2:3
  • awaySt. Polten0:0
  • homeWacker Innsbruck1:2
  • awayAustria Wien II1:4

Head to head

  • 12/05/252. Liga1:3
  • 08/02/252. Liga1:1
  • 05/02/252. Liga1:5
  • 11/02/242. Liga1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Amstetten1145218:1717
7Liefering1152422:2317
9Wacker Innsbruck1142513:1314
10St. Polten1142510:1114
11Floridsdorfer AC1142516:1814
12Voitsberg1133519:2112
13Sturm Graz II1132618:2411
14Kapfenberg1122714:218
15Wels1122714:278
16Rapid Wien II1121811:247

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.