All matches

Austria Wien II — First Vienna, 2. Liga

Austria, 2. Liga

Austria Wien II
WLWLW
—
First Vienna
WWWWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
29%29%42%
Austria Wien II29%Draw29%First Vienna42%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Austria Wien II29%3.41—
XDraw29%3.45—
2First Vienna42%2.40—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes44%

ours 2.28

No56%

ours 1.78

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAustria Wien IIFirst ViennaCombined
Goals scored1.000.831.83
Conceded0.830.171.00
Corners12.011.011.5
Cards1.02.53.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Austria Wien IIFirst Vienna

FK Austria Wien II 29%, First Vienna FC 1894 42%. The safest is “No draw” at 71%.

FK Austria Wien II 29%Draw 29%First Vienna FC 1894 42%
1st half
24 · 41 · 35
2nd half
24 · 47 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: No draw

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Austria Wien II

  • homeRapid Wien II4:1
  • awayAmstetten2:4
  • homeSchwarz-Weiss Bregenz2:0
  • awayLiefering1:2
  • homeAustria Salzburg3:1

First Vienna

  • awayWels3:1
  • awayRapid Wien II2:0
  • homeAmstetten1:0
  • awayAdmira Wacker1:0
  • homeLiefering2:2

Head to head

  • 03/15/262. Liga2:0
  • 09/13/252. Liga1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1FC Blau-Weiß Linz760120:418
2First Vienna751114:716
3Floridsdorfer AC741213:1013
4Amstetten733114:1112
5Austria Wien II740313:1112
6Wacker Innsbruck732210:811
7Austria Salzburg731314:1210

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.