All matches

First Vienna — FC Blau-Weiß Linz, 2. Liga

Austria, 2. Liga

First Vienna
WWWWD
—
FC Blau-Weiß Linz
1.1WWLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
27%28%45%
First Vienna27%Draw28%FC Blau-Weiß Linz45%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1First Vienna27%3.75—
XDraw28%3.55—
2FC Blau-Weiß Linz45%2.22—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes45%

ours 2.24

No55%

ours 1.80

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos

Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.

Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

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Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

First ViennaFC Blau-Weiß Linz

First Vienna FC 1894 27%, FC Blau-Weiß Linz 45%. The safest is “FC Blau-Weiß Linz or draw” at 73%.

First Vienna FC 1894 27%Draw 28%FC Blau-Weiß Linz 45%
1st half
29 · 46 · 25
2nd half
17 · 40 · 43
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: No draw

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricFirst ViennaFC Blau-Weiß LinzCombined
Goals scored1.001.332.33
Conceded0.170.500.67
Corners11.011.311.2
Cards2.31.33.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Form and context

First Vienna

  • awayWels3:1
  • awayRapid Wien II2:0
  • homeAmstetten1:0
  • awayAdmira Wacker1:0
  • homeLiefering2:2

FC Blau-Weiß Linz

  • homeAdmira Wacker3:0
  • homeWels4:1
  • awayKapfenberg1:2
  • homeVoitsberg5:1
  • awaySt. Polten1:0

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1FC Blau-Weiß Linz760120:418
2First Vienna751114:716
3Floridsdorfer AC741213:1013
4Amstetten733114:1112

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.