All matches

Amstetten — Wacker Innsbruck, 2. Liga

Austria, 2. Liga

Amstetten
WWLDD
—
Wacker Innsbruck
DDLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
47%25%28%
Amstetten47%Draw25%Wacker Innsbruck28%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Amstetten47%2.11—
XDraw25%3.99—
2Wacker Innsbruck28%3.62—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes54%

ours 1.84

No46%

ours 2.19

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos

Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.

Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

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Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

AmstettenWacker Innsbruck

SKU Amstetten 47%, FC Wacker Innsbruck 28%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

SKU Amstetten 47%Draw 25%FC Wacker Innsbruck 28%
1st half
40 · 35 · 25
2nd half
34 · 42 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 10.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAmstettenWacker InnsbruckCombined
Goals scored1.330.501.83
Conceded0.830.501.33
Corners14.510.012.3
Cards0.53.03.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Form and context

Amstetten

  • awayKapfenberg4:3
  • homeAustria Wien II4:2
  • awayFirst Vienna0:1
  • homeWels1:1
  • awayFloridsdorfer AC2:2

Wacker Innsbruck

  • awaySturm Graz II2:2
  • homeVoitsberg1:1
  • awayFloridsdorfer AC0:2
  • homeSt. Polten1:0
  • awayKapfenberg1:0

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2First Vienna751114:716
3Floridsdorfer AC741213:1013
4Amstetten733114:1112
5Austria Wien II740313:1112
6Wacker Innsbruck732210:811
7Austria Salzburg731314:1210
8Liefering731314:1510

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.