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Vitesse vs PSV II: result 3:1

Netherlands, Eerste DivisieMatch finished

Final score 3:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Vitesse 54%, PSV II 26%, draw 21%.

1.9DLWLD
3:1HT 1:1
1.4LWLDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
54%21%26%
Vitesse54%Draw21%PSV II26%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

2.53xG1.48
43Possession, %57
25Shots14
9Shots on target4
6Corners3
0Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
4Fouls11
1Offsides2

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

3 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 77 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Landed
    Vitesse54%
  • Total goals Landed
    Over 2.567%
  • Both teams to score Landed
    Yes65%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Vitesse54%1.86—
XDraw21%4.86—
2PSV II26%3.90—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Vitesse

  • awayAjax II1:1
  • homeEmmen0:2
  • awayEindhoven1:0
  • awayVolendam0:2
  • homeNAC Breda2:2

PSV II

  • homeNAC Breda0:2
  • awayEindhoven2:1
  • homeDordrecht0:1
  • awayRoda JC1:1
  • awayVitesse1:3

Head to head

  • 09/19/26Eerste Divisie3:1
  • 03/20/26Eerste Divisie2:0
  • 11/25/25Eerste Divisie3:1
  • 12/20/24Eerste Divisie4:6
  • 10/25/24Eerste Divisie1:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Volendam1361630:2219
8Den Bosch1353523:2118
9Vitesse1353517:1818
10AZ II1352632:2817
11MVV1352617:2917
12RKC Waalwijk1337322:1916
13PSV II1344517:2116
14De Graafschap1343617:2715
15Oss1341819:2213

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.