Both teams to score
Yes58%
ours 1.74
No42%
ours 2.36
All matches
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Widzew Lodz — Wisla Krakow, Ekstraklasa
Poland, Ekstraklasa
Widzew Lodz
1.6DDDLD
Wisla Krakow
2.1WWDWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
38%26%36%
Widzew Lodz38%Draw26%Wisla Krakow36%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Widzew Lodz2.63—
XDraw3.85—
2Wisla Krakow2.77—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricWidzew LodzWisla KrakowCombined
Goals scored1.331.502.83
Conceded1.500.672.17
Corners10.88.69.7
Cards2.42.04.4
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Widzew LodzWisla Krakow
RTS Widzew Łódź 38%, Wisła Kraków 36%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
RTS Widzew Łódź 38%Draw 26%Wisła Kraków 36%
1st half
34 · 37 · 28
2nd half
26 · 40 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 11.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Widzew Lodz
- homeWieczysta Krakow2:2
- awayLegia Warsaw1:1
- homeRadomiak Radom0:0
- homeLech Poznan2:3
- awaySlask Wroclaw3:3
Wisla Krakow
- homeSlask Wroclaw2:1
- homeJagiellonia2:0
- awayKorona Kielce1:1
- homeWieczysta Krakow2:0
- awayPogon Szczecin2:2
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Legia Warsaw954019:819
Legia Warsaw954019:8193
Lech Poznan861117:719
Lech Poznan861117:7194Wisla Krakow952217:1217
Wisla Krakow952217:12175
Pogon Szczecin843112:615
Pogon Szczecin843112:6156
Korona Kielce943212:1015
Korona Kielce943212:10157
Zaglebie Lubin943211:1015
Zaglebie Lubin943211:10158
Piast Gliwice941416:1513
Piast Gliwice941416:15139
GKS Katowice840416:1312
GKS Katowice840416:131210
Jagiellonia840412:1312
Jagiellonia840412:131211
Wisla Plock83239:1211
Wisla Plock83239:121112Widzew Lodz916213:139
Widzew Lodz916213:13913
Cracovia Krakow92259:148
Cracovia Krakow92259:14814
Radomiak Radom92257:208
Radomiak Radom92257:208Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.