All matches

Piast Gliwice — Widzew Lodz, Ekstraklasa

Poland, Ekstraklasa

Piast Gliwice
1.8LWWWD
—
Widzew Lodz
1.6DDDLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
48%26%26%
Piast GliwiceMarket 2.5648%DrawMarket 3.5026%Widzew LodzMarket 2.4426%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Piast Gliwice48%39%2.092.56+8.7
XDraw26%29%3.883.50-2.8
2Widzew Lodz26%41%3.782.44-14.6

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes58%

ours 1.74book 1.57

No42%

ours 2.36book 2.25

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricPiast GliwiceWidzew LodzCombined
Goals scored2.001.503.50
Conceded1.171.833.00
Corners10.312.211.3
Cards1.52.33.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Piast GliwiceWidzew Lodz

GKS Piast Gliwice 48%, RTS Widzew Łódź 26%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

GKS Piast Gliwice 48%Draw 26%RTS Widzew Łódź 26%
1st half
33 · 39 · 28
2nd half
39 · 39 · 23

Bookmakers: 2.56 · 3.50 · 2.44

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 3.5

69%1.36
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Piast Gliwice

  • homePogon Szczecin1:2
  • awayRadomiak Radom2:0
  • homeGKS Katowice3:0
  • awayMotor Lublin2:0
  • homeLegia Warsaw1:1

Widzew Lodz

  • homeWieczysta Krakow2:2
  • awayLegia Warsaw1:1
  • homeRadomiak Radom0:0
  • homeLech Poznan2:3
  • awaySlask Wroclaw3:3

Head to head

  • 05/23/26Ekstraklasa1:2
  • 11/28/25Ekstraklasa0:2
  • 03/28/25Ekstraklasa0:2
  • 09/21/24Ekstraklasa0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Korona Kielce943212:1015
7Zaglebie Lubin943211:1015
8Piast Gliwice941416:1513
9GKS Katowice840416:1312
10Jagiellonia840412:1312
11Wisla Plock83239:1211
12Widzew Lodz916213:139
13Cracovia Krakow92259:148
14Radomiak Radom92257:208

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.