All matches

Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Moskva prediction

Russia, Premier League

VARStats prediction for 29 November: Dinamo Moskva 53%, draw 26%, Krylia Sovetov 22%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

  
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
22%26%53%
Krylia Sovetov22%Draw26%Dinamo Moskva53%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Krylia Sovetov22%4.61—
XDraw26%3.90—
2Dinamo Moskva53%1.90—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes62%

Fair price 1.60

No38%

Fair price 2.66

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4493 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4478 matches

Cards prediction

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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4463 matches

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Krylia SovetovDinamo Moskva

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 22%, FK Dinamo Moskva 53%. The safest is “FK Dinamo Moskva or draw” at 78%.

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 22%Draw 26%FK Dinamo Moskva 53%
1st half
22 · 35 · 42
2nd half
27 · 35 · 38
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total fouls: Over 22.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricKrylia SovetovDinamo MoskvaCombined
Goals scored1.002.003.00
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Krylia Sovetov
  • schedule9 days’ rest
  • Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches7 goals conceded
  • One win in the last 5 matches0:3, 2:0, 1:2, 1:1, 1:1
Dinamo Moskva
  • schedule7 days’ rest
  • 3 clean sheets in the last 52:0, 1:3, 3:1, 1:0, 3:0
  • Fewest corners in the league in their matches — 7.2 per match16 teams in the league
  • Won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings0:0, 4:0, 3:2, 3:1, 1:0

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Krylia Sovetov

  • homeZenit0:3
  • awayRubin Kazan2:0
  • homeFakel Voronezh1:2
  • homeSpartak Moscow1:1
  • awayLokomotiv Moskva1:1

Dinamo Moskva

  • homeAkhmat Grozny2:0
  • awayAkron Togliatti1:3
  • homeCSKA Moscow3:1
  • awayRubin Kazan1:0
  • awayRostov3:0

Head to head

  • 07/25/26Premier League0:0
  • 03/01/26Premier League0:4
  • 09/26/25Premier League2:3
  • 05/05/25Premier League1:3
  • 08/17/24Premier League0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Zenit13100330:1330
2Dinamo Moskva1391321:1228
3Spartak Moscow1382325:1026
4CSKA Moscow1375121:1226
5Krasnodar1365221:1623
6Rostov1353516:1718
7Baltika Kaliningrad1345417:1417
8Orenburg1338214:1217
9Krylia Sovetov1336417:2015
10Rubin Kazan1336413:1815
11Makhachkala1341816:2613

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.