All matches

Krylia Sovetov — Zenit, Russian Premier League

Russia, Russian Premier League

Krylia Sovetov
1.4DWDDW
—
Zenit
3.5WWLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
19%23%58%
Krylia Sovetov19%Draw23%Zenit58%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Krylia Sovetov19%5.13—
XDraw23%4.35—
2Zenit58%1.74—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes58%

ours 1.73

No42%

ours 2.38

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricKrylia SovetovZenitCombined
Goals scored0.831.001.83
Conceded0.670.831.50
Corners5.712.79.2
Cards2.32.04.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Krylia SovetovZenit

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 19%, FK Zenit St. Petersburg 58%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 19%Draw 23%FK Zenit St. Petersburg 58%
1st half
28 · 33 · 38
2nd half
24 · 39 · 37
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Over 0.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Krylia Sovetov

  • awayLokomotiv Moskva1:1
  • homeRodina Moskva2:1
  • homeKrasnodar2:2
  • awayAkhmat Grozny3:3
  • awayAkron Togliatti3:0

Zenit

  • awayBaltika Kaliningrad3:2
  • homeLokomotiv Moskva2:1
  • homeCSKA Moscow1:2
  • awayFakel Voronezh1:0
  • awaySpartak Moscow0:2

Head to head

  • 04/04/26Russian Premier League1:2
  • 11/09/25Russian Premier League1:1
  • 12/01/24Russian Premier League3:2
  • 07/20/24Russian Premier League0:4

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3CSKA Moscow954015:919
4Dinamo Moskva961214:819
5Zenit960319:918
6Rubin Kazan926112:1112
7Makhachkala940515:1612
8Baltika Kaliningrad932414:1211
9Krylia Sovetov925213:1411
10Akhmat Grozny924313:1310
11Orenburg91627:109

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.