Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.78
No44%
ours 2.28
All matches
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Baltika Kaliningrad — Akron Togliatti, Russian Premier League
Russia, Russian Premier League
Baltika Kaliningrad
2.0LDLWD
Akron Togliatti
1.2WDDDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
62%24%14%
Baltika Kaliningrad62%Draw24%Akron Togliatti14%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Baltika Kaliningrad1.61—
XDraw4.16—
2Akron Togliatti7.22—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricBaltika KaliningradAkron TogliattiCombined
Goals scored0.670.831.50
Conceded1.000.501.50
Corners12.09.310.7
Cards2.04.36.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Baltika KaliningradAkron Togliatti
FK Baltika Kaliningrad 62%, FK Akron Togliatti 14%. The safest is “FK Baltika Kaliningrad or draw” at 84%.
FK Baltika Kaliningrad 62%Draw 24%FK Akron Togliatti 14%
1st half
49 · 34 · 18
2nd half
39 · 39 · 23
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Baltika Kaliningrad
- homeZenit2:3
- awayFakel Voronezh2:2
- homeLokomotiv Moskva0:1
- awayRodina Moskva3:0
- homeRubin Kazan1:1
Akron Togliatti
- homeAkhmat Grozny2:0
- awayKrasnodar1:1
- awayOrenburg2:2
- homeCSKA Moscow2:2
- homeKrylia Sovetov0:3
Head to head
- 04/27/26Russian Premier League0:1
- 08/31/25Russian Premier League2:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6
Rubin Kazan926112:1112
Rubin Kazan926112:11127
Makhachkala940515:1612
Makhachkala940515:16128Baltika Kaliningrad932414:1211
Baltika Kaliningrad932414:12119
Krylia Sovetov925213:1411
Krylia Sovetov925213:141110
Akhmat Grozny924313:1310
Akhmat Grozny924313:131011
Orenburg91627:109
Orenburg91627:10912Akron Togliatti915311:188
Akron Togliatti915311:18813
Rostov922510:178
Rostov922510:17814
Lokomotiv Moskva91448:117
Lokomotiv Moskva91448:117Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.