Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia: result 1:1
Bulgaria, First LeagueMatch finished
Final score 1:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: CSKA Sofia 57%, draw 28%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 15%.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result MissedCSKA Sofia57%
Actual: Draw — we had 28%
- Total goals LandedUnder 2.567%
- Both teams to score MissedNo66%
Actual: Yes — we had 34%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Form and context
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
- homeLudogorets0:3
- homeSlavia Sofia0:0
- awayLokomotiv Sofia1:1
- homeCSKA Sofia1:1
- awayBotev Plovdiv0:2
CSKA Sofia
- homeSlavia Sofia0:0
- homeLudogorets2:0
- awayNordsjaelland2:2
- homeMonaco1:2
- awayCSKA 19483:2
Head to head
- 09/20/26First League1:1
- 12/03/25First League1:2
- 08/02/25First League1:0
- 04/12/25First League0:2
- 11/02/24First League2:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
More matches in this competition
Bulgaria, First League: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.