All matches

Atromitos vs Panathinaikos prediction

Greece, Super League

VARStats prediction for 29 November: Panathinaikos 60%, draw 25%, Atromitos 15%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

1.7LLLDD
  
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
15%25%60%
Atromitos15%Draw25%Panathinaikos60%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Atromitos15%6.86—
XDraw25%4.01—
2Panathinaikos60%1.65—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes49%

ours 2.04

No51%

ours 1.96

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4407 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4392 matches

Cards prediction

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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4375 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

AtromitosPanathinaikos

PAE APS Atromitos Athens 15%, Panathinaikos FC 60%. The safest is “Panathinaikos FC or draw” at 85%.

PAE APS Atromitos Athens 15%Draw 25%Panathinaikos FC 60%
1st half
22 · 40 · 37
2nd half
16 · 37 · 47
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAtromitosPanathinaikosCombined
Goals scored1.003.004.00
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Atromitos
  • Winless in 7 matches1:3, 1:2, 1:2, 1:1, 1:1
  • Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches9 goals conceded
  • Relegation zone: 14th of 14
Panathinaikos
  • 15 goals in the last 5 matches2:0, 1:0, 5:1, 5:1, 2:1
  • 5 wins in a row2:0, 1:0, 5:1, 5:1, 2:1
  • League leaders — 24 points from 9 matches

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Atromitos

  • awayAris Thessaloniki1:3
  • awayAsteras Tripolis1:2
  • homeKifisias1:2
  • awayIraklis Thessaloniki1:1
  • homeKalamata1:1

Panathinaikos

  • homeAEK Athens2:0
  • awayVolos New1:0
  • awayKairat5:1
  • homeAsteras Tripolis5:1
  • homeBorac Banja Luka2:1

Head to head

  • 01/25/26Super League0:0
  • 10/05/25Super League0:1
  • 03/09/25Super League1:1
  • 12/01/24Super League1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Panathinaikos980120:424
2Olympiakos971115:422
3PAOK960318:1218
4AEK Athens852121:517
5OFI951314:1216
6Aris Thessaloniki951313:1716
7Kifisias932412:1411
8Kalamata831413:1710
10Panetolikos93068:179
11Levadiakos91353:116
12Asteras Tripolis91358:176
13Volos New80356:133
14Atromitos70256:122

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.