All matches

Panetolikos — OFI, Super League

Greece, Super League

Panetolikos
1.5LLWWW
—
OFI
1.9DWWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
39%27%34%
Panetolikos39%Draw27%OFI34%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Panetolikos39%2.58—
XDraw27%3.70—
2OFI34%2.92—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.74

No43%

ours 2.34

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricPanetolikosOFICombined
Goals scored0.500.330.83
Conceded1.000.331.33
Corners10.77.08.8
Cards3.03.06.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

PanetolikosOFI

Panaitolikos GFS Agrinio 39%, OFI FC 34%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.

Panaitolikos GFS Agrinio 39%Draw 27%OFI FC 34%
1st half
30 · 39 · 31
2nd half
35 · 39 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 3.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Panetolikos

  • homePAOK1:3
  • awayPanathinaikos0:3
  • awayLevadiakos2:0
  • homeKalamata2:0
  • homeAsteras Tripolis3:1

OFI

  • homeAsteras Tripolis2:2
  • homeHoffenheim2:0
  • awayOlympiakos1:0
  • homeKifisias2:0
  • awayAris Thessaloniki1:2

Head to head

  • 01/25/26Super League0:1
  • 10/18/25Super League4:2
  • 01/19/25Super League1:0
  • 09/29/24Super League2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2PAOK540112:512
3AEK Athens532013:311
4OFI53118:410
5Olympiakos53114:210
6Panetolikos53028:79
7Aris Thessaloniki52125:107
8Iraklis Thessaloniki51314:66

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.