Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.79
No44%
ours 2.26
All matches
—
PAOK — Asteras Tripolis, Super League
Greece, Super League
PAOK
3.0WWLWL
Asteras Tripolis
1.4DDLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
73%19%
PAOK73%Draw19%Asteras Tripolis8%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1PAOK1.37—
XDraw5.27—
2Asteras Tripolis12.12—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricPAOKAsteras TripolisCombined
Goals scored1.000.501.50
Conceded0.670.831.50
Corners9.710.09.8
Cards2.02.74.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
PAOKAsteras Tripolis
PAOK Thessaloniki FC 73%, Asteras Tripolis FC 8%. The safest is “PAOK Thessaloniki FC or draw” at 88%.
PAOK Thessaloniki FC 73%Draw 19%Asteras Tripolis FC 8%
1st half
53 · 33 · 14
2nd half
42 · 37 · 21
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 7.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
PAOK
- awayPanetolikos3:1
- homeAris Thessaloniki2:0
- awayPanathinaikos1:3
- awayAtromitos2:1
- awayBrann2:3
Asteras Tripolis
- awayOFI2:2
- homeAEK Athens1:1
- homeIraklis Thessaloniki0:2
- homeOlympiakos0:1
- awayPanetolikos1:3
Head to head
- 03/01/26Super League2:0
- 09/28/25Super League3:3
- 03/02/25Super League2:0
- 11/24/24Super League2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Panathinaikos550012:215
Panathinaikos550012:2152PAOK540112:512
PAOK540112:5123
AEK Athens532013:311
AEK Athens532013:3114
OFI53118:410
OFI53118:4105
Olympiakos53114:210
Olympiakos53114:2106
Panetolikos53028:79
Panetolikos53028:797
Aris Thessaloniki52125:107
Aris Thessaloniki52125:1078
Iraklis Thessaloniki51314:66
Iraklis Thessaloniki51314:669
Kifisias51224:75
Kifisias51224:7510
Kalamata51136:84
Kalamata51136:8411
Atromitos50234:72
Atromitos50234:7212Asteras Tripolis50234:92
Asteras Tripolis50234:9213
Volos New50234:92
Volos New50234:9214
Levadiakos50140:91
Levadiakos50140:91Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.