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Operario Ferroviario vs Ceara: result 2:2

Brazil, Serie BMatch finished

Final score 2:2. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Operario Ferroviario 51%, draw 27%, Ceara 23%.

2:2HT 1:0
1.9LDLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
51%27%23%
Operario FerroviarioPrice 2.0951%DrawPrice 3.2027%CearaPrice 3.4623%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.27xG1.65
52Possession, %48
12Shots15
4Shots on target5
7Corners5
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
10Fouls17
2Offsides4

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 118 of 183void — 1
  • Match result Missed
    Operario Ferroviario51%

    Actual: Draw — we had 27%

  • Total goals Missed
    Under 2.552%

    Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 48%

  • Both teams to score Landed
    Yes52%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Operario Ferroviario51%45%1.972.09+5.5
XDraw27%29%3.763.20-2.0
2Ceara23%26%4.413.46-3.6

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Operario Ferroviario

  • awayGremio Novorizontino1:2
  • homeAthletic (MG)1:0
  • awayAmerica Mineiro0:1
  • homeGoias0:2
  • homeBotafogo-SP1:2

Ceara

  • homeGoias0:2
  • homeJuventude2:2
  • awayBotafogo-SP0:1
  • homeCriciuma1:0
  • awayAvai1:0

Head to head

  • 09/26/26Serie B2:2
  • 05/31/26Serie B2:1
  • 09/08/24Serie B1:2
  • 05/19/24Serie B0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Sao Bernardo3614101251:4052
10Goias351571336:4052
11Operario Ferroviario361491346:4851
12Botafogo-SP361391441:3948
13Cuiaba3611141133:3047
14Nautico3612101440:4646
15Athletic (MG)3510141140:4044
16Ceara3511101437:4443
17Avai361071933:4637
18Londrina36882045:5432

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.