Both teams to score
Yes63%
ours 1.60
No37%
ours 2.67
All matches
—
Moss FK — Egersunds IK, First Division
Norway, First Division
Moss FK
LWLWL
Egersunds IK
LLDDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
38%24%38%
Moss FK38%Draw24%Egersunds IK38%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Moss FK2.61—
XDraw4.16—
2Egersunds IK2.65—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricMoss FKEgersunds IKCombined
Goals scored1.170.832.00
Conceded1.832.334.16
Corners10.89.09.9
Cards1.02.63.6
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Moss FKEgersunds IK
Moss FK 38%, Egersunds IK 38%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Moss FK 38%Draw 24%Egersunds IK 38%
1st half
36 · 34 · 30
2nd half
39 · 33 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 11.5
67%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Moss FK
- homeKongsvinger IL0:2
- awaySandnes Ulf2:1
- homeHaugesund1:4
- awayStabæk Fotball3:2
- homeStrømmen IF1:2
Egersunds IK
- awayRanheim Fotball0:5
- awayOdds1:5
- homeKongsvinger IL1:1
- awayFC Lyn Oslo1:1
- homeÅsane Fotball2:2
Head to head
- 07/04/26First Division0:3
- 10/22/25First Division0:2
- 06/28/25First Division2:4
- 08/26/24First Division2:3
- 04/27/24First Division1:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7
IL Hødd241041040:4834
IL Hødd241041040:48348
Ranheim Fotball24941161:5831
Ranheim Fotball24941161:58319Egersunds IK24851136:4929
Egersunds IK24851136:492910
FC Lyn Oslo24841239:4928
FC Lyn Oslo24841239:492811
Strømmen IF24751238:5526
Strømmen IF24751238:552612
Sandnes Ulf24741335:4525
Sandnes Ulf24741335:452513Moss FK24741338:5425
Moss FK24741338:542514
Sogndal Fotball23651238:5323
Sogndal Fotball23651238:532315
Åsane Fotball24551434:5320
Åsane Fotball24551434:5320Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.