All matches

Egersunds IK — IL Hødd, First Division

Norway, First Division

Egersunds IK
LLDDD
—
IL Hødd
LLLDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
50%24%26%
Egersunds IK50%Draw24%IL Hødd26%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Egersunds IK50%2.00—
XDraw24%4.13—
2IL Hødd26%3.86—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes59%

ours 1.70

No41%

ours 2.43

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricEgersunds IKIL HøddCombined
Goals scored0.831.332.16
Conceded2.832.675.50
Corners8.313.210.8
Cards2.71.34.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Egersunds IKIL Hødd

Egersunds IK 50%, IL Hødd 26%. The safest is “Egersunds IK or draw” at 76%.

Egersunds IK 50%Draw 24%IL Hødd 26%
1st half
39 · 35 · 26
2nd half
46 · 33 · 20
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Most corners: Home

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Egersunds IK

  • awayRanheim Fotball0:5
  • awayOdds1:5
  • homeKongsvinger IL1:1
  • awayFC Lyn Oslo1:1
  • homeÅsane Fotball2:2

IL Hødd

  • homeOdds2:3
  • awayKongsvinger IL1:5
  • homeFC Lyn Oslo0:2
  • awayÅsane Fotball2:2
  • homeStabæk Fotball2:1

Head to head

  • 05/25/26First Division1:3
  • 11/01/25First Division0:0
  • 07/30/25First Division0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Odds24116750:3839
6Bryne FK241221033:3138
7IL Hødd241041040:4834
8Ranheim Fotball24941161:5831
9Egersunds IK24851136:4929
10FC Lyn Oslo24841239:4928
11Strømmen IF24751238:5526

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.