Both teams to score
Yes62%
ours 1.60
No38%
ours 2.66
All matches
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Raufoss IL — Moss FK, First Division
Norway, First Division
Raufoss IL
LWLLL
Moss FK
LWLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
37%24%39%
Raufoss IL37%Draw24%Moss FK39%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Raufoss IL2.70—
XDraw4.16—
2Moss FK2.57—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricRaufoss ILMoss FKCombined
Goals scored0.831.502.33
Conceded3.332.175.50
Corners13.311.712.5
Cards1.70.82.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Raufoss ILMoss FK
Raufoss IL 37%, Moss FK 39%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Raufoss IL 37%Draw 24%Moss FK 39%
1st half
39 · 33 · 28
2nd half
24 · 33 · 43
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 9.5
69%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Raufoss IL
- homeStromsgodset0:2
- homeOdds2:1
- awayKongsvinger IL1:9
- homeSandnes Ulf0:3
- awayStrømmen IF1:3
Moss FK
- homeKongsvinger IL0:2
- awaySandnes Ulf2:1
- homeHaugesund1:4
- awayStabæk Fotball3:2
- homeStrømmen IF1:2
Head to head
- 07/26/26First Division2:1
- 11/08/25First Division1:1
- 04/01/25First Division3:2
- 11/02/24First Division2:3
- 05/16/24First Division0:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11
Strømmen IF24751238:5526
Strømmen IF24751238:552612
Sandnes Ulf24741335:4525
Sandnes Ulf24741335:452513Moss FK24741338:5425
Moss FK24741338:542514
Sogndal Fotball23651238:5323
Sogndal Fotball23651238:532315
Åsane Fotball24551434:5320
Åsane Fotball24551434:532016Raufoss IL23611626:6119
Raufoss IL23611626:6119Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.