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Zhetysu Taldykorgan 0:1 Caspiy, Premier League: result, stats and how the prediction went

Result and how the prediction went

Kazakhstan, Premier LeagueMatch finished

0:1HT 0:0
1.7LLDWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
36%27%37%
Zhetysu TaldykorganPrice 2.3136%DrawPrice 3.2627%CaspiyPrice 3.0837%
Line-upsZhetysu Taldykorgan3-4-3—Caspiy3-4-3

Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.

Zhetysu Taldykorgan3-4-3Caspiy3-4-3

Zhetysu Taldykorgan3-4-3

Coach: Kajrat Nurdauletov

Starting XI

  • 1GKKazakhstanArtur Egorov
  • 11MFKazakhstanAdilkhan Dobay
  • 15DFMontenegroJovan Pajović
  • 23MFKazakhstanAskhat Baltabekov
  • 21MFKazakhstanMadi Zhakipbayev
  • 10MFGeorgiaTsotne Mosiashvili
  • 7MFKazakhstanSerikzhan Muzhikov
  • 17MFKazakhstanNurbergen Nurbol
  • 9MFKazakhstanShokan Abzalov
  • 90FWStrahinja Jovanović
  • 77FWKazakhstanNurbol Anuarbekov

Substitutes

  • 22GKKazakhstanDanil Podymskiy
  • 88GKMoldovaȘtefan Sicaci
  • 2DFKazakhstanAslan Rafkat
  • 4DFKazakhstanDinmuhammed Kashken
  • 40DFBakhtiyar Zhamalov
  • 8MFKazakhstanAdam Adakhajiev
  • 31MFAlim Akhmetov
  • 18FWKazakhstanVyacheslav Shvyrev
  • 20FWKazakhstanShyngys Anuarbek
  • 27FWMarko Zivanovic
  • 55FWKazakhstanYerbol Kurmanakhan

Caspiy3-4-3

Coach: Ruslan Esatov

Starting XI

  • 24GKKazakhstanZhomart Dinmukhammed
  • 14DFAndré Amaral
  • 30DFPortugalBernardo Morgado
  • 19DFKazakhstanMaksat Taykenov
  • 21DFKazakhstanDierzhon Aripov
  • 17MFBelarusVladislav Klimovich
  • 15MFGhanaDavid Epton
  • 47MFKazakhstanDaniyar Usenov
  • 26MFBelarusPavel Sedko
  • 93FWKeba Sylla
  • 11MFFranceNoha Ndombasi

Substitutes

  • 1GKKazakhstanNurlybek Ayazbaev
  • 49GKJan Andrin
  • 4DFKazakhstanErlan Kadyrbaev
  • 27DFBelarusDanila Nechaev
  • 67DFKazakhstanMeyrambek Kalmyrza
  • 7MFKazakhstanBekzat Kabylan
  • 10MFRussiaIdris Umaev
  • 13MFMeyrambek Serikbay
  • 9FWKazakhstanRamazan Abylaykhan

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

0.72xG0.57
52Possession, %48
5Shots4
2Shots on target2
7Corners6
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
13Fouls10
1Offsides1

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

3 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 72 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Landed
    Caspiy37%
  • Total goals Landed
    Under 2.556%
  • Both teams to score Landed
    No50%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Zhetysu Taldykorgan36%41%2.762.31-4.9
XDraw27%29%3.683.26-1.3
2Caspiy37%30%2.743.08+6.2

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Zhetysu Taldykorgan

  • homeAstana2:2
  • homeTobol1:1
  • homeKaisar Kyzylorda2:1
  • awayKairat0:1
  • homeCaspiy0:1

Caspiy

  • homeKyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk1:2
  • awayOkzhetpes Kokshetau0:3
  • awayAstana2:2
  • homeAltay2:1
  • awayZhetysu Taldykorgan1:0

Head to head

  • 09/18/26Premier League0:1
  • 04/05/26Premier League1:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Ulytau Zhezkazgan30981327:3835
11Caspiy30961532:4433
12Irtysh Pavlodar30881431:4432
13Atyrau306121227:3530
14Zhetysu Taldykorgan30691531:4927
15Altay305111430:4426
16Kaisar Kyzylorda304131325:4125

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.