Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.86
No46%
ours 2.16
All matches
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Zhetysu Taldykorgan — Astana, Kazakhstan Premier League
Kazakhstan, Kazakhstan Premier League
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
0.9LLWLL
Astana
3.1WLWWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
17%21%63%
Zhetysu Taldykorgan17%Draw21%Astana63%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Zhetysu Taldykorgan5.93—
XDraw4.87—
2Astana1.60—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricZhetysu TaldykorganAstanaCombined
Goals scored0.330.170.50
Conceded0.500.170.67
Corners11.313.512.4
Cards2.72.55.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Zhetysu TaldykorganAstana
FK Zhetysu Taldykorgan 17%, FK Astana 63%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
FK Zhetysu Taldykorgan 17%Draw 21%FK Astana 63%
1st half
24 · 36 · 40
2nd half
25 · 40 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 3.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
- homeCaspiy0:1
- awayYelimay1:2
- homeIrtysh Pavlodar1:0
- awayUlytau Zhezkazgan0:3
- awayZhenys1:4
Astana
- homeKairat1:0
- awayOrdabasy0:1
- homeYelimay4:0
- awayAtyrau3:2
- awayKyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk1:1
Head to head
- 03/08/26Kazakhstan Premier League1:4
- 07/06/25Kazakhstan Premier League0:2
- 03/30/25Kazakhstan Premier League0:3
- 11/10/24Kazakhstan Premier League0:5
- 03/05/24Kazakhstan Premier League0:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Ordabasy26194351:1861
Ordabasy26194351:18612
Kairat26176351:2057
Kairat26176351:20573Astana25146542:2548
Astana25146542:25484
Okzhetpes Kokshetau26136741:3545
Okzhetpes Kokshetau26136741:35455
Aktobe26126838:3142
Aktobe26126838:31426
Yelimay25108735:3338
Yelimay25108735:33387
Tobol261041233:3534
Tobol261041233:35348
Zhenys26881026:3232
Zhenys26881026:32329
Ulytau Zhezkazgan26881024:3232
Ulytau Zhezkazgan26881024:323210
Caspiy26851327:3629
Caspiy26851327:362911
Irtysh Pavlodar25681126:3426
Irtysh Pavlodar25681126:342612
Kyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk26671328:3925
Kyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk26671328:392513
Kaisar Kyzylorda264121022:3324
Kaisar Kyzylorda264121022:332414
Atyrau254111018:2823
Atyrau254111018:282315
Altay26581325:3823
Altay26581325:382316Zhetysu Taldykorgan26571426:4422
Zhetysu Taldykorgan26571426:4422Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.