All matches

Teplice vs Pardubice prediction

Czech Republic, First League

VARStats prediction for 8 November: Teplice 39%, Pardubice 34%, draw 27%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

2.1WDLDW
  
1.6LWWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
39%27%34%
TeplicePrice 2.4439%DrawPrice 3.4027%PardubicePrice 2.6234%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Teplice39%38%2.562.44+1.0
XDraw27%27%3.763.400.0
2Pardubice34%35%2.922.62-1.0

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes60%

Fair price 1.67House price 1.56

No40%

Fair price 2.48House price 2.28

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4493 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4478 matches

Cards prediction

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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4463 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

TeplicePardubice

FK Teplice 39%, FK Pardubice 34%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.

FK Teplice 39%Draw 27%FK Pardubice 34%
1st half
26 · 39 · 35
2nd half
40 · 32 · 28

Prices: 2.44 · 3.40 · 2.62

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Under 1.5

67%1.49
High variancelow probability, high price

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricTeplicePardubiceCombined
Goals scored1.201.602.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Teplice
  • schedule8 days’ rest
  • Won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings1:1, 0:0, 3:0, 2:0, 1:0
  • 2 goals or fewer in 4 of the last 5
Pardubice
  • schedule8 days’ rest
  • Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Teplice

  • awaySlovacko3:1
  • homeArtis Brno0:0
  • awayMlada Boleslav0:1
  • homeSigma Olomouc1:1
  • awayHradec Kralove2:0

Pardubice

  • homeSlovan Liberec1:2
  • awayViktoria Plzen2:1
  • homeFASTAV Zlin3:0
  • awaySparta Prague0:2
  • homeBohemians 19052:1

Head to head

  • 02/28/26First League1:1
  • 09/28/25First League0:0
  • 05/25/25First League3:0
  • 03/01/25First League2:0
  • 09/28/24First League1:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Sparta Prague1372425:1323
5Slovan Liberec1272315:823
6Teplice1363421:1821
7Jablonec1362516:1820
8Zbrojovka Brno1362516:1920
9Viktoria Plzen1354428:2119
10Bohemians 19051245313:1317
11Hradec Kralove1343612:1815
12Pardubice1342715:1914
13Banik Ostrava123277:2211
14Artis Brno1224613:2210

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.