Both teams to score
Yes60%
ours 1.67
No40%
ours 2.49
All matches
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Mlada Boleslav — Hradec Kralove, First League
Czech Republic, First League
Mlada Boleslav
1.8WLWWD
Hradec Kralove
2.3LWDWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
40%25%35%
Mlada Boleslav40%Draw25%Hradec Kralove35%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Mlada Boleslav2.50—
XDraw3.96—
2Hradec Kralove2.87—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricMlada BoleslavHradec KraloveCombined
Goals scored0.330.330.66
Conceded0.500.501.00
Corners11.513.712.6
Cards1.52.03.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Mlada BoleslavHradec Kralove
FK Mladá Boleslav 40%, FC Hradec Králové 35%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
FK Mladá Boleslav 40%Draw 25%FC Hradec Králové 35%
1st half
32 · 36 · 33
2nd half
35 · 37 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 12.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Mlada Boleslav
- homeZbrojovka Brno2:0
- awaySlovan Liberec0:3
- homeBanik Ostrava4:0
- homeSlovacko2:1
- awayPardubice1:1
Hradec Kralove
- homeTeplice0:2
- awayFASTAV Zlin2:1
- homeViktoria Plzen0:0
- homeSparta Prague2:1
- awayZbrojovka Brno0:1
Head to head
- 12/13/25First League1:1
- 08/16/25First League3:2
- 12/01/24First League3:0
- 08/04/24First League1:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Slavia Prague972025:623
Slavia Prague972025:6232
Slovan Liberec962113:420
Slovan Liberec962113:4203Mlada Boleslav852117:917
Mlada Boleslav852117:9174
Sigma Olomouc951316:1316
Sigma Olomouc951316:13165
Teplice951317:1516
Teplice951317:15166
Zbrojovka Brno951312:1216
Zbrojovka Brno951312:12167
Sparta Prague950418:1215
Sparta Prague950418:12158
Jablonec942311:914
Jablonec942311:9149Hradec Kralove94238:914
Hradec Kralove94238:91410
Viktoria Plzen924317:1710
Viktoria Plzen924317:171011
Banik Ostrava93157:1710
Banik Ostrava93157:1710Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.