All matches

Bohemians 1905 — Sparta Prague, First League

Czech Republic, First League

Bohemians 1905
1.6LWLDD
—
Sparta Prague
3.2WWWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
24%23%54%
Bohemians 190524%Draw23%Sparta Prague54%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Bohemians 190524%4.18—
XDraw23%4.43—
2Sparta Prague54%1.87—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes58%

ours 1.72

No42%

ours 2.39

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricBohemians 1905Sparta PragueCombined
Goals scored0.500.501.00
Conceded0.330.000.33
Corners8.510.09.3
Cards1.01.02.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Bohemians 1905Sparta Prague

Bohemians 1905 24%, AC Sparta Praha 54%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

Bohemians 1905 24%Draw 23%AC Sparta Praha 54%
1st half
31 · 36 · 34
2nd half
24 · 36 · 40
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Over 7.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Bohemians 1905

  • awayPardubice1:2
  • homeSlovacko2:0
  • awaySigma Olomouc0:3
  • homeJablonec1:1
  • awaySlavia Prague2:2

Sparta Prague

  • awaySigma Olomouc3:0
  • awayAvan Academy4:1
  • homeJablonec2:0
  • awayHradec Kralove1:2
  • homeSlavia Prague0:3

Head to head

  • 04/25/26First League2:0
  • 10/28/25First League1:2
  • 12/07/24First League0:1
  • 08/10/24First League1:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Teplice951317:1516
6Zbrojovka Brno951312:1216
7Sparta Prague950418:1215
8Jablonec942311:914
9Hradec Kralove94238:914
10Viktoria Plzen924317:1710
11Banik Ostrava93157:1710
12Bohemians 190582339:119
13Pardubice92259:148
14Lisen91267:185

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.