All matches

Banik Ostrava — Viktoria Plzen, First League

Czech Republic, First League

Banik Ostrava
1.6DLLLW
—
Viktoria Plzen
3.0LLLDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
27%23%50%
Banik Ostrava27%Draw23%Viktoria Plzen50%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Banik Ostrava27%3.71—
XDraw23%4.32—
2Viktoria Plzen50%2.00—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes60%

ours 1.68

No40%

ours 2.48

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricBanik OstravaViktoria PlzenCombined
Goals scored0.500.170.67
Conceded1.170.331.50
Corners10.313.011.7
Cards2.34.06.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Banik OstravaViktoria Plzen

FC Banik Ostrava 27%, FC Viktoria Plzeň 50%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

FC Banik Ostrava 27%Draw 23%FC Viktoria Plzeň 50%
1st half
29 · 34 · 36
2nd half
30 · 38 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Over 7.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Banik Ostrava

  • awaySlovacko2:2
  • homePardubice1:2
  • awayJablonec0:3
  • awayMlada Boleslav0:4
  • homeSigma Olomouc1:0

Viktoria Plzen

  • awaySlavia Prague1:2
  • homeUnion Saint-Gilloise0:3
  • homeSigma Olomouc2:3
  • awayHradec Kralove0:0
  • awayLisen3:0

Head to head

  • 04/25/26First League0:1
  • 10/26/25First League0:2
  • 05/11/25First League2:1
  • 03/16/25First League1:0
  • 10/19/24First League1:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Jablonec942311:914
9Hradec Kralove94238:914
10Viktoria Plzen924317:1710
11Banik Ostrava93157:1710
12Bohemians 190582339:119
13Pardubice92259:148

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.