Both teams to score
Yes47%
ours 2.12
No53%
ours 1.89
All matches
FK Sochi vs Veles Moscow prediction
VARStats prediction for 21 November: FK Sochi 51%, draw 30%, Veles Moscow 19%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
51%30%19%
FK Sochi51%Draw30%Veles Moscow19%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1FK Sochi1.97—
XDraw3.36—
2Veles Moscow5.15—
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Quick predictions
The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals prediction
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4407 matches
Corners prediction
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4392 matches
Cards prediction
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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4375 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
FK SochiVeles Moscow
FK Sochi 51%, Veles Moskva 19%. The safest is “FK Sochi or draw” at 79%.
FK Sochi 51%Draw 30%Veles Moskva 19%
1st half
36 · 45 · 19
2nd half
39 · 36 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total fouls: Over 20.5
71%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFK SochiVeles MoscowCombined
Goals scored1.201.002.20
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
FK Sochi- Fewest corners in the league in their matches — 8.3 per match18 teams in the league
- 2 goals or fewer in 4 of the last 5
- 2nd in the table — 32 points from 16 matches
Veles Moscow- 17th of 18 for corners — 8.6 per match18 teams in the league
- One win in the last 5 matches1:1, 0:1, 1:1, 2:1, 1:2
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 51:1, 0:1, 1:1, 2:1, 1:2
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
FK Sochi
- homeUral0:2
- awayTekstilshchik Ivanovo3:1
- awayRotor Volgograd1:0
- homeUfa1:0
- homeSKA-Khabarovsk1:1
Veles Moscow
- homeSpartak Kostroma1:1
- awayVolga Ulyanovsk0:1
- homeShinnik Yaroslavl1:1
- awayUral2:1
- homeVolga Ulyanovsk1:2
Head to head
- 09/14/26FNL2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Russia, FNL: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.