All matches

FK SKA-Khabarovsk — FC Tekstilshchik Ivanovo, FNL

Russia, FNL

FK SKA-Khabarovsk
DDDLL
—
FC Tekstilshchik Ivanovo
LDLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
46%29%25%
FK SKA-Khabarovsk46%Draw29%FC Tekstilshchik Ivanovo25%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FK SKA-Khabarovsk46%2.16—
XDraw29%3.43—
2FC Tekstilshchik Ivanovo25%4.06—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes47%

ours 2.11

No53%

ours 1.90

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricFK SKA-KhabarovskFC Tekstilshchik IvanovoCombined
Goals scored0.170.330.50
Conceded0.170.670.84
Corners9.010.09.5
Cards3.02.05.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

FK SKA-KhabarovskFC Tekstilshchik Ivanovo

FK SKA-Khabarovsk 46%, FC Tekstilshchik Ivanovo 25%. The safest is “FK SKA-Khabarovsk or draw” at 79%.

FK SKA-Khabarovsk 46%Draw 29%FC Tekstilshchik Ivanovo 25%
1st half
36 · 42 · 22
2nd half
37 · 49 · 14
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: No draw

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

FK SKA-Khabarovsk

  • awayFK Shinnik Yaroslavl0:0
  • awayFK Sochi1:1
  • awayFK Arsenal Tula2:2
  • awayFK Leningradets Leningradskaya Oblast2:3
  • homeFK Torpedo Moskva0:2

FC Tekstilshchik Ivanovo

  • homeFK Rotor Volgograd0:2
  • awayFK Leningradets Leningradskaya Oblast2:2
  • homeFK Torpedo Moskva1:4
  • homeVeles Moskva0:1
  • awayFK Ural0:2

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
15FK Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk124087:1512
16FK KAMAZ Naberezhnye Chelny1223711:199
17FC Tekstilshchik Ivanovo121478:197
18FK SKA-Khabarovsk1213811:236

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.