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Mlada Boleslav vs Zbrojovka Brno: result 2:0

Czech Republic, First LeagueMatch finished

Final score 2:0. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Zbrojovka Brno 42%, Mlada Boleslav 31%, draw 27%.

2:0HT 1:0
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
31%27%42%
Mlada BoleslavPrice 2.2031%DrawPrice 3.4827%Zbrojovka BrnoPrice 2.9642%
Line-upsMlada Boleslav4-2-3-1—Zbrojovka Brno3-4-3

Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.

Mlada Boleslav4-2-3-1Zbrojovka Brno3-4-3

Mlada Boleslav4-2-3-1

Coach: Ales Majer

Starting XI

  • 59GKCzechiaJiří Floder
  • 32DFCzechiaFilip Matoušek
  • 44DFCzechiaOndrej Karafiat
  • 3DFSlovakiaMartin Králik
  • 11DFCzechiaMatěj Hybš
  • 76MFCzechiaJan Zíka
  • 17MFCzechiaFilip Špatenka
  • 21MFCzechiaMartin Šubert
  • 28MFCzech RepublicDaniel Langhamer
  • 20MFNigeriaSolomon John
  • 23FWCzechiaJiří Klíma

Substitutes

  • 47GKMarek Obdržálek
  • 42GKCzechiaVojtěch Vorel
  • 13DFCzechiaDenis Donát
  • 5DFCzechiaHarustak Jan
  • 26DFCzechiaMatěj Zachoval
  • 77MFCzechiaDavid Pech
  • 49MFCzechiaJosef Kolářík
  • 18MFCzechiaMarek Havran
  • 70FWCzechiaJan Buryan
  • 14MFCzechiaSamuel Grygar
  • 9FWSlovakiaLukáš Letenay

Zbrojovka Brno3-4-3

Coach: Martin Svedik

Starting XI

  • 1GKSlovakiaAdam Hrdina
  • 39DFCzechiaJakub Klíma
  • 26DFCzechiaFilip Vedral
  • 3DFBahrainKauan Carneiro Kaka
  • 8MFCzechiaPatrik Čavoš
  • 68MFCzechiaJakub Janetzký
  • 7MFCzechiaŠtěpán Langer
  • 44MFMaliAmadou Dante
  • 10FWCzechiaAntonin Vanicek
  • 15FWCzechiaDaniel Vašulín
  • 14FWCzechiaTadeáš Vachoušek

Substitutes

  • 78GKOndrej Prodelal
  • 17MFCzechiaJaromír Zmrhal
  • 4DFCzechiaEric Hunal
  • 25DFCzechiaTomáš Břečka
  • 79MFNigeriaSoliu Afolabi
  • 19FWBurundiBienvenue Kanakimana
  • 11FWSlovakiaMartin Rymarenko
  • 18DFCzechiaDenis Granečný
  • 23MFCzechiaPetr Ševčík
  • 77FWNigeriaLucky Ezeh
  • 9FWCzechiaOliver Velich

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.32xG2.26
53Possession, %47
10Shots21
5Shots on target6
8Corners4
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
7Fouls11
1Offsides2

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

0 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 69 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Missed
    Zbrojovka Brno42%

    Actual: Mlada Boleslav — we had 31%

  • Total goals Missed
    Over 2.555%

    Actual: Under 2.5 — we had 45%

  • Both teams to score Missed
    Yes59%

    Actual: No — we had 41%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Mlada Boleslav31%43%3.212.20-11.6
XDraw27%26%3.773.48+0.4
2Zbrojovka Brno42%31%2.362.96+11.2

Big gap with the price. The price usually reflects something the model doesn’t know: a new team in the league, few matches, line-ups. Not a tip.

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Mlada Boleslav

  • homeHradec Kralove3:1
  • awaySlavia Prague1:1
  • homeTeplice1:0
  • awayBohemians 19050:1
  • awayViktoria Plzen0:3

Zbrojovka Brno

  • awaySigma Olomouc0:3
  • homeBohemians 19052:2
  • awaySlovacko2:1
  • homeJablonec0:1
  • awayMlada Boleslav0:2

Head to head

  • 09/19/26First League2:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Slavia Prague1394032:731
2Sigma Olomouc1373322:1524
3Mlada Boleslav1373322:1524
4Sparta Prague1372425:1323
5Slovan Liberec1272315:823
6Teplice1363421:1821
7Jablonec1362516:1820
8Zbrojovka Brno1362516:1920
9Viktoria Plzen1354428:2119
10Bohemians 19051245313:1317

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.