All matches

Makhachkala vs CSKA Moscow: result 1:3

Russia, Premier LeagueMatch finished

Final score 1:3. Before kick-off VARStats gave: CSKA Moscow 45%, draw 33%, Makhachkala 23%.

1.2LLDLL
1:3HT 1:1
2.6DWLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
23%33%45%
Makhachkala23%Draw33%CSKA Moscow45%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.09xG1.34
48Possession, %52
11Shots11
2Shots on target5
4Corners5
3Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
12Fouls10
5Offsides1

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 73 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Landed
    CSKA Moscow45%
  • Total goals Missed
    Under 2.565%

    Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 35%

  • Both teams to score Missed
    No57%

    Actual: Yes — we had 43%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Makhachkala23%4.41—
XDraw33%3.06—
2CSKA Moscow45%2.24—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Makhachkala

  • homeRostov0:3
  • awayZenit0:2
  • homeAkron Togliatti1:1
  • awayOrenburg0:4
  • homeCSKA Moscow1:3

CSKA Moscow

  • awayOrenburg0:0
  • homeSpartak Moscow2:0
  • awayDinamo Moskva1:3
  • homeRodina Moskva3:0
  • awayMakhachkala3:1

Head to head

  • 09/17/26Premier League1:3
  • 03/21/26Premier League1:3
  • 11/08/25Premier League0:1
  • 03/29/25Premier League0:2
  • 10/19/24Premier League0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Dinamo Moskva1391321:1228
3Spartak Moscow1382325:1026
4CSKA Moscow1375121:1226
5Krasnodar1365221:1623
6Rostov1353516:1718
7Baltika Kaliningrad1345417:1417
8Orenburg1338214:1217
9Krylia Sovetov1336417:2015
10Rubin Kazan1336413:1815
11Makhachkala1341816:2613
12Akron Togliatti1326516:2312
13Rodina Moskva1333715:2812

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.