All matches

IMT Novi Beograd vs Partizan prediction

Serbia, SuperLiga

VARStats prediction for 21 November: Partizan 37%, IMT Novi Beograd 34%, draw 29%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

  
2.5WWLLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
34%29%37%
IMT Novi Beograd34%Draw29%Partizan37%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1IMT Novi Beograd34%2.94—
XDraw29%3.41—
2Partizan37%2.72—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes58%

ours 1.72

No42%

ours 2.40

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4407 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4392 matches

Cards prediction

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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4375 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

IMT Novi BeogradPartizan

FK IMT Novi Beograd 34%, FK Partizan Beograd 37%. The safest is “No draw” at 69%.

FK IMT Novi Beograd 34%Draw 29%FK Partizan Beograd 37%
1st half
27 · 39 · 34
2nd half
35 · 35 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total offsides: Under 4.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricIMT Novi BeogradPartizanCombined
Goals scored0.801.402.20
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

IMT Novi Beograd
  • 2 goals or fewer in 4 of the last 5
Partizan
  • Most shots in the league — 18.9 per match14 teams in the league

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

IMT Novi Beograd

  • homeCukaricki Stankom0:0
  • homeZeleznicar Pancevo0:1
  • awayNovi Pazar2:1
  • homeRadnik Surdulica1:0
  • awayVojvodina1:1

Partizan

  • homeZemun3:0
  • awayRadnicki Nis3:2
  • homeCukaricki Stankom0:2
  • awayZeleznicar Pancevo0:1
  • homeNovi Pazar1:0

Head to head

  • 08/02/26SuperLiga2:1
  • 12/20/25SuperLiga1:0
  • 08/18/25SuperLiga1:5
  • 12/16/24SuperLiga1:1
  • 08/11/24SuperLiga0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Zeleznicar Pancevo1382321:1126
4Radnicki Kragujevac1472521:1623
5IMT Novi Beograd1464415:922
6Cukaricki Stankom1454519:2019
7Mladost Lucani1346312:1818
8Partizan1452724:2417
9Radnik Surdulica1345417:1717
10Novi Pazar1444613:1616

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.