All matches

Mladost Lucani — Radnik Surdulica, SuperLiga

Serbia, SuperLiga

Mladost Lucani
1.8WLWLW
—
Radnik Surdulica
1.9DDDWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
33%27%40%
Mladost Lucani33%Draw27%Radnik Surdulica40%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Mladost Lucani33%2.99—
XDraw27%3.72—
2Radnik Surdulica40%2.52—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.76

No43%

ours 2.31

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricMladost LucaniRadnik SurdulicaCombined
Goals scored0.500.831.33
Conceded1.000.831.83
Corners10.77.79.2
Cards3.33.36.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Mladost LucaniRadnik Surdulica

LFK Mladost Lučani 33%, FK Radnik Surdulica 40%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.

LFK Mladost Lučani 33%Draw 27%FK Radnik Surdulica 40%
1st half
28 · 37 · 35
2nd half
29 · 39 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Mladost Lucani

  • awayMacva Sabac2:1
  • awayRadnicki Kragujevac0:5
  • homeRadnicki Nis1:0
  • awayIMT Novi Beograd0:2
  • homePartizan3:1

Radnik Surdulica

  • homePartizan4:4
  • awayZemun1:1
  • homeRed Star Belgrade0:0
  • homeCukaricki Stankom3:1
  • awayZeleznicar Pancevo1:5

Head to head

  • 07/19/26SuperLiga1:1
  • 12/08/25SuperLiga0:0
  • 08/02/25SuperLiga1:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Vojvodina1071221:1022
3Radnicki Kragujevac952217:917
4Mladost Lucani1044210:1216
5IMT Novi Beograd1043312:715
6Zeleznicar Pancevo942314:1014
7Radnik Surdulica1035214:1514
8Novi Pazar1034310:1113
9Cukaricki Stankom1032512:1811

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.