Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.79
No44%
ours 2.27
All matches
—
Partizan — Zemun, SuperLiga
Serbia, SuperLiga
Partizan
2.9DLLWW
Zemun
1.5DDLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
70%21%
Partizan70%Draw21%Zemun10%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Partizan1.43—
XDraw4.86—
2Zemun10.41—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricPartizanZemunCombined
Goals scored1.170.671.84
Conceded1.500.832.33
Corners8.39.08.7
Cards5.03.08.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
PartizanZemun
FK Partizan Beograd 70%, FK Zemun 10%. The safest is “FK Partizan Beograd or draw” at 92%.
FK Partizan Beograd 70%Draw 21%FK Zemun 10%
1st half
58 · 29 · 12
2nd half
47 · 34 · 19
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 2.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Partizan
- awayRadnik Surdulica4:4
- homeVojvodina2:3
- awayRed Star Belgrade1:2
- homeOFK Beograd3:1
- homeGetafe2:1
Zemun
- awayNovi Pazar2:2
- homeRadnik Surdulica1:1
- awayVojvodina1:2
- homeRed Star Belgrade0:2
- awayOFK Beograd0:1
Head to head
- 07/18/26SuperLiga2:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9
Cukaricki Stankom1032512:1811
Cukaricki Stankom1032512:181110
OFK Beograd1023513:219
OFK Beograd1023513:21911Partizan922517:198
Partizan922517:19812
Radnicki Nis92256:118
Radnicki Nis92256:11813
Macva Sabac102266:178
Macva Sabac102266:17814Zemun100376:193
Zemun100376:193Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.