All matches

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs LNZ Cherkasy prediction

Ukraine, Premier League

VARStats prediction for 28 November: LNZ Cherkasy 49%, draw 31%, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 20%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
20%31%49%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi20%Draw31%LNZ Cherkasy49%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Epitsentr Dunayivtsi20%5.00—
XDraw31%3.25—
2LNZ Cherkasy49%2.03—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes42%

Fair price 2.37

No58%

Fair price 1.73

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

Combos — with Premium

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4493 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4478 matches

Cards prediction

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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4463 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Epitsentr DunayivtsiLNZ Cherkasy

FK Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 20%, LNZ Cherkasy FC 49%. The safest is “LNZ Cherkasy FC or draw” at 80%.

FK Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 20%Draw 31%LNZ Cherkasy FC 49%
1st half
21 · 50 · 29
2nd half
22 · 36 · 41
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total shots on target: Under 9.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricEpitsentr DunayivtsiLNZ CherkasyCombined
Goals scored0.801.602.40
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
  • schedule7 days’ rest
  • Winless at home in 5 matches1:2, 0:2, 0:0, 0:0, 0:2
  • Winless in 7 matches0:1, 1:2, 2:2, 1:3, 0:2
  • Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches10 goals conceded
LNZ Cherkasy
  • schedule7 days’ rest
  • Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5
  • 0.4 goals per game away9 matches

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

  • awayZorya Luhansk0:1
  • homeMetalist Kharkiv1:2
  • awayKarpaty Lviv2:2
  • awayKolos Kovalivka1:3
  • homeLivyi Bereh0:2

LNZ Cherkasy

  • awayLivyi Bereh0:0
  • awayKryvbas3:0
  • homeKudrivka2:1
  • awayShakhtar Donetsk0:3
  • homeObolon-Brovar Kyiv3:1

Head to head

  • 02/21/26Premier League0:2
  • 08/09/25Premier League0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Karpaty Lviv1154222:819
6Zorya Luhansk1153313:1318
7LNZ Cherkasy1043310:915
8Kolos Kovalivka932412:1311
12Veres Rivne112367:169

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.