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Atyrau 0:3 Ordabasy, Premier League: result, stats and how the prediction went

Result and how the prediction went

Kazakhstan, Premier LeagueMatch finished

1.5WLDLW
0:3HT 0:1
3.0LDWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
19%29%52%
Atyrau19%Draw29%Ordabasy52%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.06xG1.34
56Possession, %44
12Shots11
0Shots on target5
4Corners5
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
11Fouls20
2Offsides1

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

2 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 76 of 100
  • Match result Landed
    Ordabasy52%
  • Total goals Missed
    Under 2.568%

    Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 32%

  • Both teams to score Landed
    No64%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Atyrau19%5.20—
XDraw29%3.46—
2Ordabasy52%1.93—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Atyrau

  • awayUlytau Zhezkazgan3:0
  • homeIrtysh Pavlodar2:3
  • awayAltay1:1
  • homeYelimay1:2
  • awayZhenys2:1

Ordabasy

  • awayIrtysh Pavlodar0:2
  • homeZhenys1:1
  • awayAktobe3:1
  • awayKaisar Kyzylorda4:1
  • awayAtyrau3:0

Head to head

  • 09/17/26Premier League0:3
  • 04/04/26Premier League1:1
  • 08/03/25Premier League2:2
  • 05/03/25Premier League1:2
  • 09/15/24Premier League0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Ordabasy30215459:2368
2Kairat30198360:2365
3Astana30159648:3154
4Okzhetpes Kokshetau30166849:3854
5Aktobe30147947:3949
6Yelimay30129943:4445
7Tobol301251342:4241
8Zhenys30991232:4036
9Ulytau Zhezkazgan30981327:3835
11Caspiy30961532:4433
12Irtysh Pavlodar30881431:4432
13Atyrau306121227:3530
14Zhetysu Taldykorgan30691531:4927
15Altay305111430:4426

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.