All matches

Trencin — Podbrezova, Super Liga

Slovakia, Super Liga

1.3LDWLL
  
2.0WLLWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
23%23%53%
Trencin23%Draw23%Podbrezova53%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
Available with PremiumUnlock

Model vs market

Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Trencin23%4.29—
XDraw23%4.28—
2Podbrezova53%1.87—

our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes59%

ours 1.68

No41%

ours 2.46

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

Combos — with Premium

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

This market opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3725 matches

Corners

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3714 matches

Cards

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3703 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

TrencinPodbrezova

FK AS Trenčín 23%, ŽP Šport Podbrezová 53%. The safest is “ŽP Šport Podbrezová or draw” at 77%.

FK AS Trenčín 23%Draw 23%ŽP Šport Podbrezová 53%
1st half
20 · 38 · 43
2nd half
25 · 34 · 42
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total offsides: Under 4.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricTrencinPodbrezovaCombined
Goals scored0.601.402.00
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Trencin
  • Relegation zone: 10th of 12
  • Fewest yellow cards in the league — 1.1 per match12 teams in the league
  • One win in the last 5 matches0:2, 0:0, 2:0, 0:1, 1:2
Podbrezova
  • Won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings2:1, 4:0, 2:0, 2:1, 1:1
  • Most yellow cards in the league — 3.4 per match12 teams in the league

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Trencin

  • homeSlovan Bratislava0:2
  • awayKFC Komarno0:0
  • awaySkalica2:0
  • homeDukla Banska Bystrica0:1
  • awayZilina1:2

Podbrezova

  • awayZemplin Michalovce4:1
  • awayDukla Banska Bystrica0:1
  • homeSpartak Trnava1:3
  • awaySkalica1:0
  • homeKFC Komarno1:1

Head to head

  • 08/15/26Super Liga1:2
  • 02/07/26Super Liga0:4
  • 09/20/25Super Liga0:2
  • 02/15/25Super Liga1:2
  • 09/28/24Super Liga1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Spartak Trnava1264225:1522
4Zilina1264229:2422
5Podbrezova1252518:2117
6Kosice1236325:2315
7Zemplin Michalovce1242611:1914
9Skalica1224613:2310
10Trencin1223712:239
11Ruzomberok1223711:259
12KFC Komarno120759:167

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.