All matches

Trencin — Kosice, Super Liga

Slovakia, Super Liga

Trencin
1.4LLLWL
—
Kosice
1.9WLWDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
32%23%45%
Trencin32%Draw23%Kosice45%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Trencin32%3.13—
XDraw23%4.26—
2Kosice45%2.24—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes63%

ours 1.59

No37%

ours 2.70

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricTrencinKosiceCombined
Goals scored0.330.671.00
Conceded1.000.831.83
Corners10.57.08.8
Cards0.54.04.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

TrencinKosice

FK AS Trenčín 32%, FK Košice 45%. The safest is “No draw” at 77%.

FK AS Trenčín 32%Draw 23%FK Košice 45%
1st half
30 · 33 · 36
2nd half
31 · 38 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 4.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Trencin

  • awayZilina1:2
  • homeDAC Dunajska Streda1:4
  • awayZemplin Michalovce1:3
  • homeRuzomberok2:1
  • homeSpartak Trnava0:4

Kosice

  • homeRuzomberok2:0
  • awaySpartak Trnava2:5
  • homeDukla Banska Bystrica3:0
  • awayPodbrezova2:2
  • homeSlovan Bratislava1:2

Head to head

  • 08/01/26Super Liga3:3
  • 05/16/26Super Liga3:0
  • 03/07/26Super Liga0:2
  • 11/08/25Super Liga2:0
  • 08/10/25Super Liga1:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Podbrezova942313:1614
6Zemplin Michalovce94149:1113
7Kosice833221:1812
8Skalica922511:198
9Dukla Banska Bystrica92169:217
10KFC Komarno90548:145
11Trencin812510:205
12Ruzomberok91268:185

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.