All matches

Zilina — Zemplin Michalovce, Super Liga

Slovakia, Super Liga

Zilina
2.5WDWWW
—
Zemplin Michalovce
1.8WLWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
58%23%19%
Zilina58%Draw23%Zemplin Michalovce19%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Zilina58%1.71—
XDraw23%4.43—
2Zemplin Michalovce19%5.26—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes61%

ours 1.63

No39%

ours 2.58

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricZilinaZemplin MichalovceCombined
Goals scored1.330.672.00
Conceded0.830.671.50
Corners9.78.39.0
Cards2.01.73.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

ZilinaZemplin Michalovce

MŠK Žilina 58%, MFK Zemplín Michalovce 19%. The safest is “MŠK Žilina or draw” at 78%.

MŠK Žilina 58%Draw 23%MFK Zemplín Michalovce 19%
1st half
46 · 35 · 19
2nd half
39 · 36 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Over 2.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Zilina

  • homeTrencin2:1
  • awaySlovan Bratislava3:3
  • homePodbrezova3:1
  • awaySpartak Trnava3:1
  • homeKFC Komarno2:1

Zemplin Michalovce

  • homeDukla Banska Bystrica1:0
  • awayRuzomberok0:3
  • homeTrencin3:1
  • awaySlovan Bratislava2:1
  • homeSkalica2:0

Head to head

  • 08/02/26Super Liga1:0
  • 05/05/26Super Liga3:2
  • 04/04/26Super Liga1:2
  • 11/08/25Super Liga2:0
  • 08/09/25Super Liga4:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1DAC Dunajska Streda862025:520
2Zilina962123:1720
3Spartak Trnava953121:1018
4Slovan Bratislava851220:916
5Podbrezova942313:1614
6Zemplin Michalovce94149:1113
7Kosice833221:1812
8Skalica922511:198

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.