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Aktobe vs Ulytau Zhezkazgan: result 2:2

Kazakhstan, Premier LeagueMatch finished

Final score 2:2. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Aktobe 63%, draw 23%, Ulytau Zhezkazgan 14%.

2.4WDLWD
2:2HT 1:2
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
63%23%14%
AktobePrice 1.5563%DrawPrice 4.0423%Ulytau ZhezkazganPrice 5.8814%
Line-upsAktobe4-4-2—Ulytau Zhezkazgan4-3-3

Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.

Aktobe4-4-2Ulytau Zhezkazgan4-3-3

Aktobe 4-4-2

Coach: Igor Cherevchenko

Starting XI

  • 16GKKazakhstanAleksandr Zarutskiy
  • 31DFKazakhstanAdilkhan Tanzharikov
  • 23DFKazakhstanTemirlan Yerlanov
  • 13DFBelgiumSenna Miangue
  • 27DFKazakhstanTimur Dosmagambetov
  • 11FWKazakhstanArtur Shushenachev
  • 21MFSpainPablo Alvarez
  • 20MFKazakhstanGeorgy Zhukov
  • 9DFEnglandSheyi Ojo
  • 17MFPortugalNani
  • 7FWNigerDaniel Sosah

Substitutes

  • 1GKKazakhstanIgor Trofimets
  • 4DFKazakhstanTalgat Kussyapov
  • 12MFUkraineDmitry Topalov
  • 14MFArgentinaAgustín Pastoriza
  • 29MFMiram Kikbaev
  • 57MFKazakhstanMiras Umaniyazov
  • 77MFGeorgiaGiorgi Zaria
  • 95FWKazakhstanAbat Aimbetov

Ulytau Zhezkazgan 4-3-3

Coach: Nurken Mazbaev

Starting XI

  • 78GKKazakhstanTimurbek Zakirov
  • 2MFSpainDavid Carmona
  • 28DFRussiaGeorgiy Bugulov
  • 69DFDaniel Maulenov
  • 12DFKazakhstanVadim Afanasenko
  • 10MFKazakhstanAbzal Taubay
  • 6MFKazakhstanKuandyk Nursultanov
  • 14MFHiroki Harada
  • 13MFKazakhstanAslan Akhmedov
  • 45FWKazakhstanBakdaulet Zulfikarov
  • 7FWJapanKotaro Kishi

Substitutes

  • 1GKKazakhstanDmytro Nepohodov
  • 40GKKazakhstanStanislav Shcherbakov
  • 8MFGeorgiaBeka Vachiberadze
  • 9MFKazakhstanRinat Serikkul
  • 17MFKazakhstanBagdat Daniyarov
  • 22MFBelarusIlya Chernyak
  • 88MFIliyas Abdilda
  • 21FWOrken Nurali
  • 77FWMagzhan Shauymbay

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.55xG1.30
66Possession, %34
13Shots10
3Shots on target6
7Corners6
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
15Fouls17
2Offsides1

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

0 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 69 of 98void — 2
  • Match result Missed
    Aktobe63%

    Actual: Draw — we had 23%

  • Total goals Missed
    Under 2.556%

    Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 44%

  • Both teams to score Missed
    No59%

    Actual: Yes — we had 41%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Aktobe63%63%1.591.55+0.2
XDraw23%22%4.364.04+0.5
2Ulytau Zhezkazgan14%15%6.965.88-0.6

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Aktobe

  • awayTobol3:2
  • homeKairat2:2
  • homeOrdabasy1:3
  • awayYelimay3:1
  • homeUlytau Zhezkazgan2:2

Ulytau Zhezkazgan

  • homeAtyrau0:3
  • awayKyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk0:1
  • awayYelimay1:2
  • homeOkzhetpes Kokshetau2:0
  • awayAktobe2:2

Head to head

  • 09/18/26Premier League2:2
  • 04/05/26Premier League1:1
  • 09/20/25Premier League1:2
  • 04/26/25Premier League1:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Astana30159648:3154
4Okzhetpes Kokshetau30166849:3854
5Aktobe30147947:3949
6Yelimay30129943:4445
7Tobol301251342:4241
8Zhenys30991232:4036
9Ulytau Zhezkazgan30981327:3835
11Caspiy30961532:4433

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.