Both teams to score
Yes52%
Fair price 1.93
No48%
Fair price 2.07
All matches
Akron Togliatti vs Fakel Voronezh prediction
VARStats prediction for 21 November: Akron Togliatti 55%, draw 28%, Fakel Voronezh 17%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
55%28%17%
Akron Togliatti55%Draw28%Fakel Voronezh17%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Akron Togliatti1.83—
XDraw3.56—
2Fakel Voronezh5.83—
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Quick predictions
The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals prediction
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4493 matches
Corners prediction
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4478 matches
Cards prediction
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4463 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Akron TogliattiFakel Voronezh
FK Akron Togliatti 55%, FK Fakel Voronezh 17%. The safest is “FK Akron Togliatti or draw” at 81%.
FK Akron Togliatti 55%Draw 28%FK Fakel Voronezh 17%
1st half
35 · 42 · 23
2nd half
46 · 35 · 19
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: No draw
71%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAkron TogliattiFakel VoronezhCombined
Goals scored1.400.401.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Akron Togliatti- schedule13 days’ rest
- 2nd in the league for yellow cards — 2.9 per match16 teams in the league
Fakel Voronezh- schedule14 days’ rest
- Fewest shots on target in the league — 2.3 per match16 teams in the league
- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches9 goals conceded
- Only 2 goals in the last 5 matches0:1, 0:1, 2:1, 0:5, 0:1
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Akron Togliatti
- awayBaltika Kaliningrad1:2
- homeDinamo Moskva3:1
- awayMakhachkala1:1
- awayRostov0:1
- homeAkhmat Grozny2:0
Fakel Voronezh
- awayRubin Kazan0:1
- homeRodina Moskva0:1
- awayKrylia Sovetov2:1
- homeLokomotiv Moskva0:5
- awaySpartak Moscow0:1
Head to head
- 04/13/25Premier League1:0
- 07/27/24Premier League2:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Russia, Premier League: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.