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Akron Togliatti vs Akhmat Grozny: result 2:0

Russia, Premier LeagueMatch finished

Final score 2:0. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Akhmat Grozny 39%, Akron Togliatti 34%, draw 28%.

2:0HT 1:0
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
34%28%39%
Akron TogliattiPrice 3.2234%DrawPrice 3.5128%Akhmat GroznyPrice 2.3839%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.68xG0.93
61Possession, %39
16Shots7
4Shots on target3
6Corners5
4Yellow cards5
0Red cards1
17Fouls14
1Offsides2

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

0 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 67 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Missed
    Akhmat Grozny39%

    Actual: Akron Togliatti — we had 34%

  • Total goals Missed
    Over 2.557%

    Actual: Under 2.5 — we had 43%

  • Both teams to score Missed
    Yes62%

    Actual: No — we had 38%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Akron Togliatti34%31%2.963.22+3.3
XDraw28%28%3.633.51-0.4
2Akhmat Grozny39%41%2.592.38-2.8

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Akron Togliatti

  • awayBaltika Kaliningrad1:2
  • homeDinamo Moskva3:1
  • awayMakhachkala1:1
  • awayRostov0:1
  • homeAkhmat Grozny2:0

Akhmat Grozny

  • awayDinamo Moskva0:2
  • homeOrenburg0:1
  • awayZenit2:3
  • homeBaltika Kaliningrad0:0
  • awayAkron Togliatti0:2

Head to head

  • 09/17/26Premier League2:0
  • 03/15/26Premier League1:1
  • 09/27/25Premier League0:3
  • 05/11/25Premier League3:2
  • 08/31/24Premier League0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Rubin Kazan1336413:1815
11Makhachkala1341816:2613
12Akron Togliatti1326516:2312
13Rodina Moskva1333715:2812
14Lokomotiv Moskva1325616:2011
15Akhmat Grozny1325615:1911
16Fakel Voronezh131398:216

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.