Both teams to score
Yes58%
ours 1.74
No42%
ours 2.36
All matches
AGMK — Andijan, Super League
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
55%25%21%
AGMK55%Draw25%Andijan21%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1AGMK1.83—
XDraw4.07—
2Andijan4.82—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
Combos — with Premium
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3725 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3714 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3703 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
AGMKAndijan
FK AGMK 55%, FK Andijan 21%. The safest is “FK AGMK or draw” at 79%.
FK AGMK 55%Draw 25%FK Andijan 21%
1st half
35 · 45 · 20
2nd half
46 · 29 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 11.5
71%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAGMKAndijanCombined
Goals scored1.601.002.60
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
AGMK- Most corners in the league in their matches — 11.2 per match16 teams in the league
- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches7 goals conceded
- Won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings2:1, 0:1, 4:3, 3:2, 0:0
Andijan- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches11 goals conceded
- One win in the last 5 matches1:1, 0:1, 1:4, 1:4, 2:1
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 51:1, 0:1, 1:4, 1:4, 2:1
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
AGMK
- homeKokand 19122:1
- awayMash'al1:0
- homeNavbahor2:2
- awaySogdiana2:1
- homePakhtakor1:3
Andijan
- awayDinamo Samarkand1:1
- homeQizilqum0:1
- awayBuxoro1:4
- homeNasaf1:4
- homeKokand 19122:1
Head to head
- 04/12/26Super League2:1
- 09/26/25Super League0:1
- 05/03/25Super League4:3
- 08/03/24Super League3:2
- 03/03/24Super League0:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Uzbekistan, Super League: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.