Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.70
No41%
ours 2.43
All matches
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FK Bunyodkor — Xorazm FK Urganch, Uzbekistan Super League
Uzbekistan, Uzbekistan Super League
FK Bunyodkor
WLLLL
Xorazm FK Urganch
DLDLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
47%25%28%
FK Bunyodkor47%Draw25%Xorazm FK Urganch28%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FK Bunyodkor2.12—
XDraw4.01—
2Xorazm FK Urganch3.60—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFK BunyodkorXorazm FK UrganchCombined
Goals scored0.330.500.83
Conceded0.670.831.50
Corners6.012.39.2
Cards1.01.02.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
FK BunyodkorXorazm FK Urganch
FK Bunyodkor 47%, Xorazm FK Urganch 28%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
FK Bunyodkor 47%Draw 25%Xorazm FK Urganch 28%
1st half
36 · 36 · 27
2nd half
37 · 37 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 3.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
FK Bunyodkor
- homeBuxoro FK2:1
- awayFC Nasaf Qarshi0:3
- homeTermez Surkhon0:1
- awayFK Lokomotiv Tashkent1:4
- homeFK Qo'qon 19120:1
Xorazm FK Urganch
- awayNeftchi Fargona2:2
- homeQizilqum Zarafshon PFK1:3
- homeFK Sogdiana Jizak0:0
- awayFK AGMK0:1
- awayFK Andijan0:1
Head to head
- 03/18/26Uzbekistan Super League2:1
- 09/14/25Uzbekistan Super League1:0
- 04/18/25Uzbekistan Super League0:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11
FK Sogdiana Jizak22841038:4328
FK Sogdiana Jizak22841038:432812
Termez Surkhon22751019:2826
Termez Surkhon22751019:282613FK Bunyodkor22711422:3622
FK Bunyodkor22711422:362214Xorazm FK Urganch23571120:3422
Xorazm FK Urganch23571120:342215
FK Qo'qon 191222481019:3020
FK Qo'qon 191222481019:302016
Mash'al Mubarek22112011:444
Mash'al Mubarek22112011:444Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.