Both teams to score
Yes42%
ours 2.37
No58%
ours 1.73
All matches
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FK Qo'qon 1912 — Qizilqum Zarafshon PFK, Uzbekistan Super League
Uzbekistan, Uzbekistan Super League
FK Qo'qon 1912
LLDDW
Qizilqum Zarafshon PFK
WLWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
38%29%34%
FK Qo'qon 191238%Draw29%Qizilqum Zarafshon PFK34%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FK Qo'qon 19122.67—
XDraw3.46—
2Qizilqum Zarafshon PFK2.98—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFK Qo'qon 1912Qizilqum Zarafshon PFKCombined
Goals scored0.331.001.33
Conceded0.670.671.34
Corners12.77.310.0
Cards1.01.02.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 878 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 877 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 874 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
FK Qo'qon 1912Qizilqum Zarafshon PFK
FK Qo'qon 1912 38%, Qizilqum Zarafshon PFK 34%. The safest is “No draw” at 71%.
FK Qo'qon 1912 38%Draw 29%Qizilqum Zarafshon PFK 34%
1st half
31 · 49 · 20
2nd half
26 · 42 · 33
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: No draw
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
FK Qo'qon 1912
- awayTermez Surkhon0:1
- awayFK Andijan1:2
- homePFK Dinamo Samarqand1:1
- homeBuxoro FK1:1
- awayFK Bunyodkor1:0
Qizilqum Zarafshon PFK
- awayXorazm FK Urganch3:1
- awayPFK Dinamo Samarqand0:1
- homeBuxoro FK3:2
- homeFC Nasaf Qarshi1:0
- awayFK Sogdiana Jizak1:2
Head to head
- 04/24/26Uzbekistan Super League1:2
- 09/13/25Uzbekistan Super League2:1
- 04/18/25Uzbekistan Super League0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8
PFK Dinamo Samarqand2286833:3430
PFK Dinamo Samarqand2286833:34309
FK Andijan22931027:2830
FK Andijan22931027:283010Qizilqum Zarafshon PFK22921123:3029
Qizilqum Zarafshon PFK22921123:302911
FK Sogdiana Jizak22841038:4328
FK Sogdiana Jizak22841038:432812
Termez Surkhon22751019:2826
Termez Surkhon22751019:282613
FK Bunyodkor22711422:3622
FK Bunyodkor22711422:362214
Xorazm FK Urganch23571120:3422
Xorazm FK Urganch23571120:342215FK Qo'qon 191222481019:3020
FK Qo'qon 191222481019:302016
Mash'al Mubarek22112011:444
Mash'al Mubarek22112011:444Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.