Both teams to score
Yes64%
ours 1.55
No36%
ours 2.81
All matches
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FK Sogdiana Jizak — Buxoro FK, Uzbekistan Super League
Uzbekistan, Uzbekistan Super League
FK Sogdiana Jizak
LDWLW
Buxoro FK
LLLDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
44%25%31%
FK Sogdiana Jizak44%Draw25%Buxoro FK31%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FK Sogdiana Jizak2.27—
XDraw3.98—
2Buxoro FK3.25—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFK Sogdiana JizakBuxoro FKCombined
Goals scored1.000.671.67
Conceded0.671.502.17
Corners10.07.08.5
Cards1.31.02.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 878 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 877 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 874 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
FK Sogdiana JizakBuxoro FK
FK Sogdiana Jizak 44%, Buxoro FK 31%. The safest is “No draw” at 78%.
FK Sogdiana Jizak 44%Draw 25%Buxoro FK 31%
1st half
40 · 40 · 20
2nd half
35 · 29 · 36
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 7.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
FK Sogdiana Jizak
- homeFK AGMK1:2
- awayXorazm FK Urganch0:0
- homeMash'al Mubarek5:2
- awayNeftchi Fargona0:3
- homeQizilqum Zarafshon PFK2:1
Buxoro FK
- awayFK Bunyodkor1:2
- homeFK Navbahor Namangan1:4
- awayQizilqum Zarafshon PFK2:3
- awayFK Qo'qon 19121:1
- homeNeftchi Fargona4:1
Head to head
- 05/02/26Uzbekistan Super League1:2
- 10/23/25Uzbekistan Super League0:2
- 05/24/25Uzbekistan Super League1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5
FK AGMK22105731:2935
FK AGMK22105731:29356
FC Nasaf Qarshi2297633:2134
FC Nasaf Qarshi2297633:21347Buxoro FK22104832:2934
Buxoro FK22104832:29348
PFK Dinamo Samarqand2286833:3430
PFK Dinamo Samarqand2286833:34309
FK Andijan22931027:2830
FK Andijan22931027:283010
Qizilqum Zarafshon PFK22921123:3029
Qizilqum Zarafshon PFK22921123:302911FK Sogdiana Jizak22841038:4328
FK Sogdiana Jizak22841038:432812
Termez Surkhon22751019:2826
Termez Surkhon22751019:282613
FK Bunyodkor22711422:3622
FK Bunyodkor22711422:3622Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.