Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.89
No47%
ours 2.12
All matches
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Jihlava — MFK Karviná, FNL
Czech Republic, FNL
Jihlava
WWWLL
MFK Karviná
1.6WLWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
35%26%39%
Jihlava35%Draw26%MFK Karviná39%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Jihlava2.85—
XDraw3.82—
2MFK Karviná2.58—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricJihlavaMFK KarvináCombined
Goals scored0.830.831.66
Conceded0.500.831.33
Corners10.05.57.8
Cards2.02.04.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
JihlavaMFK Karviná
FC Vysočina Jihlava 35%, MFK Karviná 39%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
FC Vysočina Jihlava 35%Draw 26%MFK Karviná 39%
1st half
23 · 41 · 36
2nd half
35 · 37 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Jihlava
- homeSlavia Praha U213:2
- awayUsti nad Labem2:1
- homeArsenal Ceska Lipa2:0
- awayFK Dukla Praha1:3
- homeTaborsko0:1
MFK Karviná
- homeKromeriz3:2
- awayTrinec2:3
- homeKladno2:0
- awayPribram1:2
- homeViktoria Zizkov3:0
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1MFK Karviná960319:1218
MFK Karviná960319:12182
Usti nad Labem953115:818
Usti nad Labem953115:8183
FK Dukla Praha952218:1317
FK Dukla Praha952218:13174Jihlava951314:916
Jihlava951314:9165
Pribram935115:1414
Pribram935115:14146
Slavia Praha U21934219:1513
Slavia Praha U21934219:1513Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.