All matches

MFK Karviná — Slavia Praha U21, FNL

Czech Republic, FNL

MFK Karviná
1.6WLWLW
—
Slavia Praha U21
LLDDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
54%22%24%
MFK Karviná54%Draw22%Slavia Praha U2124%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1MFK Karviná54%1.85—
XDraw22%4.57—
2Slavia Praha U2124%4.17—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes61%

ours 1.65

No39%

ours 2.54

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos: result and total

Two events in one forecast. The model scores them together, from the probability of every scoreline — so the link between them is built in: when the home side is stronger, a win and plenty of goals tend to come together.

Combos come with a subscription: probability, fair odds and the market comparison for all 24 combinations.

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Combos: result and corners

The result comes from the goals model, corners from the corners model. The link between them is measured on 66,000 played matches: the winning side usually takes fewer corners, because the team chasing the game does the crossing. The market has no ready line for these combinations, so «Market» here is a parlay of two separate bets: the result and the corners total.

Corner combos come with a subscription: probability and fair odds for all 48 combinations.

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricMFK KarvináSlavia Praha U21Combined
Goals scored1.170.501.67
Conceded0.830.831.66
Corners8.713.010.8
Cards1.71.33.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

MFK KarvináSlavia Praha U21

MFK Karviná 54%, SK Slavia Praha Under 21 24%. The safest is “No draw” at 78%.

MFK Karviná 54%Draw 22%SK Slavia Praha Under 21 24%
1st half
48 · 36 · 17
2nd half
40 · 31 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Under 4.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

MFK Karviná

  • homeKromeriz3:2
  • awayTrinec2:3
  • homeKladno2:0
  • awayPribram1:2
  • homeViktoria Zizkov3:0

Slavia Praha U21

  • awayJihlava2:3
  • homeViktoria Zizkov0:1
  • awayUsti nad Labem1:1
  • homeOpava3:3
  • homeKromeriz4:1

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1MFK Karviná960319:1218
2Usti nad Labem953115:818
3FK Dukla Praha952218:1317
4Jihlava951314:916
5Pribram935115:1414
6Slavia Praha U21934219:1513
7Taborsko934213:1213
8Vlasim933317:1412

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.