Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.75
No43%
ours 2.33
All matches
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MFK Karviná — FK Dukla Praha, FNL
Czech Republic, FNL
MFK Karviná
1.6WLWLW
FK Dukla Praha
0.9DWWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
49%24%27%
MFK Karviná49%Draw24%FK Dukla Praha27%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1MFK Karviná2.03—
XDraw4.22—
2FK Dukla Praha3.71—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Combos
Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.
Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
Sign upConfident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
MFK KarvináFK Dukla Praha
MFK Karviná 49%, FK Dukla Praha 27%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
MFK Karviná 49%Draw 24%FK Dukla Praha 27%
1st half
33 · 45 · 21
2nd half
44 · 30 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Under 2.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricMFK KarvináFK Dukla PrahaCombined
Goals scored1.831.833.66
Conceded1.171.332.50
Corners9.811.610.7
Cards1.42.23.6
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Form and context
MFK Karviná
- homeKromeriz3:2
- awayTrinec2:3
- homeKladno2:0
- awayPribram1:2
- homeViktoria Zizkov3:0
FK Dukla Praha
- awayProstejov2:2
- homeVlasim3:1
- awayOpava2:1
- homeJihlava3:1
- awayUsti nad Labem1:3
Head to head
- 04/18/26First League2:1
- 07/19/25First League2:0
- 03/12/25First League0:0
- 09/01/24First League0:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1MFK Karviná960319:1218
MFK Karviná960319:12182
Usti nad Labem953115:818
Usti nad Labem953115:8183FK Dukla Praha952218:1317
FK Dukla Praha952218:13174
Jihlava951314:916
Jihlava951314:9165
Pribram935115:1414
Pribram935115:1414Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.