Both teams to score
Yes70%
ours 1.42price 1.35
No30%
ours 3.36price 2.94
All matches
Thun vs Basel prediction
VARStats prediction for 8 November: Thun 46%, Basel 31%, draw 24%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
46%24%31%
ThunPrice 2.1046%DrawPrice 3.8624%BaselPrice 2.9931%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Thun2.182.10+0.6
XDraw4.253.86-0.1
2Basel3.272.99-0.5
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Quick predictions
The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals prediction
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4185 matches
Corners prediction
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4170 matches
Cards prediction
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4155 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
ThunBasel
FC Thun 46%, FC Basel 1893 31%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
FC Thun 46%Draw 24%FC Basel 1893 31%
1st half
36 · 36 · 28
2nd half
41 · 30 · 29
Prices: 2.10 · 3.86 · 2.99
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 5.5
72%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricThunBaselCombined
Goals scored1.801.203.00
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Thun- Winless at home in 6 matches2:3, 0:1, 2:4, 0:1, 0:0
- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches13 goals conceded
- Worst defence in the league — 34 conceded in 12 matches9th place, 13 points
Basel- 7 days’ rest vs 3 for the opponent
- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches10 goals conceded
- 11th of 12 for shots on target — 3.6 per match12 teams in the league
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Thun
- awayLausanne5:4
- homeLugano2:3
- homeHajduk Split0:1
- awayTwente0:1
- awayZurich2:4
Basel
- awayLugano1:2
- homeGrasshopper0:0
- awayVaduz0:3
- homeSt. Gallen1:3
- awayLuzern4:2
Head to head
- 08/09/26Super League2:4
- 05/02/26Super League1:3
- 04/18/26Super League3:1
- 02/01/26Super League2:1
- 09/13/25Super League1:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Switzerland, Super League: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.