Both teams to score
Yes61%
ours 1.65
No39%
ours 2.53
All matches
—
Lausanne — Thun, Super League
Switzerland, Super League
Lausanne
1.4LLLDL
Thun
2.2WLLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
33%24%43%
Lausanne33%Draw24%Thun43%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Lausanne3.04—
XDraw4.14—
2Thun2.33—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricLausanneThunCombined
Goals scored0.170.670.84
Conceded1.330.832.16
Corners9.811.010.4
Cards2.33.05.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
LausanneThun
FC Lausanne Sport 33%, FC Thun 43%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
FC Lausanne Sport 33%Draw 24%FC Thun 43%
1st half
37 · 37 · 25
2nd half
27 · 35 · 38
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Lausanne
- homeLugano0:4
- homeServette0:1
- awayVaduz1:3
- awayThun0:0
- homeZurich2:3
Thun
- awayVaduz2:1
- homeServette2:4
- homeGrasshopper0:1
- awaySion2:3
- homeLausanne0:0
Head to head
- 09/02/26Super League0:0
- 02/12/26Super League1:5
- 11/30/25Super League2:1
- 08/03/25Super League1:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7
Zurich932414:2011
Zurich932414:20118
Servette931511:1310
Servette931511:13109Thun931515:2310
Thun931515:231010
Grasshopper922513:248
Grasshopper922513:24811
Vaduz920718:216
Vaduz920718:21612Lausanne91357:156
Lausanne91357:156Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.