Both teams to score
Yes52%
ours 1.92
No48%
ours 2.09
All matches
Sireti — Petrocub, National Division
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
14%29%57%
Sireti14%Draw29%Petrocub57%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Sireti6.99—
XDraw3.47—
2Petrocub1.76—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3725 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3714 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3703 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
SiretiPetrocub
FC Sireți 14%, CS Petrocub Hînceşti 57%. The safest is “CS Petrocub Hînceşti or draw” at 86%.
FC Sireți 14%Draw 29%CS Petrocub Hînceşti 57%
1st half
19 · 49 · 32
2nd half
19 · 34 · 47
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: No draw
71%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSiretiPetrocubCombined
Goals scored1.201.202.40
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Sireti- Winless at home in 7 matches1:2, 0:2, 0:0, 1:1, 1:1
- Relegation zone: 7th of 8
- Fewest yellow cards in the league — 0.6 per match8 teams in the league
Petrocub- Unbeaten in 7 matches2:1, 0:0, 1:1, 1:0, 2:1
- 3rd in the table — 29 points from 16 matches
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Sireti
- awayCSCA Buiucani1:3
- awaySheriff0:2
- awayCSF Balti3:0
- homeMilsami1:2
- awayPetrocub1:2
Petrocub
- homeMilsami2:1
- homeCSCA Buiucani0:0
- homeZimbru1:1
- awayPolitehnica UTM1:0
- homeSireti2:1
Head to head
- 09/12/26National Division1:2
- 07/26/26National Division0:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Moldova, National Division: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.